Top 10 manifold.markets Competitors

polymarket.com

Polymarket | The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of New York City. This market will resolve accordi...

predictionhunt.com

Track live prediction markets from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. Get real-time odds, market analysis, and trading insights.

metaculus.com

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform and aggregation engine working to improve human reasoning and coordination on topics of global importance.

lesswrong.com

A community blog devoted to refining the art of rationality

astralcodexten.com

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary. Click to read Astral Codex Ten, by Scott Alexander, a Substack publication.

realclearpolling.com

2024 Arizona Senate - Lake vs. Gallego | RealClearPolling

forum.effectivealtruism.org

> My goal is to help people remove guilt-based motivation entirely, and replace it with intrinsic motivation. I'm aiming to both reduce the frequency of Netflix binges and reduce the bad feelings that follow. I'm aiming to help people feel like they're still worthwhile human beings if they stop working before they literally drop. A sequence about replacing guilt with other feelings and finding better ways to self-motivate, so that you can build a better future without falling apart in the process. > When all is said and done, Nature will not judge us by our actions; we will be measured only by what actually happens. Our goal, in the end, is to ensure that the timeless history of our universe is one that is filled with whatever it is we're fighting for. For me, at least, this is the underlying driver that takes the place of guilt: Once we have learned our lessons from the past, there is no reason to wrack ourselves with guilt. All we need to do, in any given moment, is look upon the actions available to us, consider, and take whichever one seems most likely to lead to a future full of light. Originally posted on Minding Our Way. There's also an official audio version.

epoch.ai

The cost of training top AI models has grown 2-3x annually for the past eight years. By 2027, the largest models could cost over a billion dollars.

nel.ag

galen mead's interweb domain site.

raftin.org

RaftIn 数学家庭作业辅导注册表 2022 – 2023 数学作业需要帮助吗？由优秀的高中生提供的免费辅导可以帮你解答K-12年级的数学问题。该活动将于2022年12月4日起每周日早上10:00-11:00（北京时间）在Zoom上举办，向世界各地的所有学生开放。Zoom链接将在您注册后共享。活动日历每月更新一次。